Topic: Numerical Methods – Are there Alternatives?
Overview: Occasionally it is worthwhile considering the fundamentals of what we do. Complex risk assessments are typically quantified, but might there be some alternative approaches?
The strengths of numerical methods are highlighted by technical communities, but a weakness is that others can be potentially misled by such a high precision approach. There is frequent debate in the media around risks and benefits on diverse topics ranging from so called superfoods to energy production with statistics and numerical estimates invoked to add apparent credibility.
Andy will examine the challenges of presenting the results of risk assessment, based on three decades of experience in high hazard industries and consider if we can make improvements in the assessment, communication and understanding of risks.
Andy Buchan graduated from RGIT in Aberdeen and started his career at UKAEA Harwell working on the chemistry of waste disposal. He then carried out technical decommissioning assessments at Sellafield and Windscale. Andy leads the programme of Severe Accident Analysis for Sellafield. He is also the current President of the Safety and Reliability Society (SaRS), an organisation which represents engineers and scientists from many industries working in Safety and Reliability.
Further information and booking details for the CRA Risk Forum which will be held on 26th and 27th September 2018 at The Cranage Estate, Holmes Chapel Cheshire CW4 8EW UK can be found on our Risk Forum registration page.